Summary of Review of Draft National Planning Framework ‘Ireland 2040 Our Plan’

Introduction

The Draft National Planning Framework (NPF) is open for consultation until 3rd November. The document is a ca. 150 page long document containing ten chapters. It does not contain maps. It contains a large number of (national) policy objectives. The NPF uses a ‘business as usual’ projection of population and jobs up to 2040 provided by the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI). This projection of a 5.75 million people population by 2040 is used as a benchmark against which the strategy is placed. This benchmark provides for one million additional people, 660,000 additional jobs and more than half a million new homes by 2040.

Approach and Methodology

The NPF adopts a three-level approach to the distribution of population and jobs: (i) distribution between the three regions (re-distribution away from Eastern and Midlands region), (ii) distribution within the regions across settlements (concentrate in selected settlements rather than dispersed), and (iii) distribution of development within each settlement (compact rather than sprawl).

First Level: Regional Distribution

The NPF assumes that 50% of additional people and jobs will be located in the Northern and Western and Southern Regions combined and the other 50% in the Eastern and Midland region. This is translated in terms of population targets as follows:

Region Additional People min Additional People max Approx. Population 2040 (million) Cities in Region
Eastern & Midlands 475,000 500,000 2.8 Dublin
Northern & Western 150,000 175,000 1 Galway
Southern 350,000 375,000 2 Cork, Limerick, Waterford
Total 975,000 1050,000 5.8

See table 2.1, NPF page 39.

Second Level: Settlement Strategy

The NPF rejects the option to develop one or more ‘new towns’ and assumes that 500% of the additional households will be accommodated in the five main cities of Dublin, Cork, Limerick, Galway and Waterford. Population targets are included based on assumed growth rates for the four cities outside Dublin of at least double that of Dublin (city and suburbs). See table.

Targets for other large towns will be left to the Regional Spatial and Economic Strategies (RSESs). However, it is an objective to achieve 66% of total population growth in the cities and their suburbs together with a number of large regionally distributed towns and their environs to be identified through the RSES process, i.e. 16% of total population growth to be accommodated in large towns defined as above 10,000 population. The settlement strategy is therefore based on a four level hierarchy: the five cities, towns over 10,000, towns under 10,000 and villages under 1500 population.

City

Population growth
range to  2040 (percentage)

Additional population to 2040

Target Population 2040

Dublin

20-25

264,000

1,437,000

Cork

50-60

115,000

324,000

Limerick

50-60

52,000

146,000

Galway

50-60

44,000

124,000

Waterford

50-60

29,000

83,000

Total

504,000

2,114,000

See Table 3.1, NPF p. 47.

Third Level: Urban Form

The strategy assumes that at least 40% of all new houses will be built within the existing built up areas of settlements in order to achieve a more compact urban form. This assumes more infill and brownfield development, higher densities and greater use of public transport. The NPF states that building height and car parking standards may need review. It also advocates proactive land management (see below).

Rural Development

The NPF defines ‘rural’ to include towns and villages up to a population of 10,000 people and includes a commitment to use underused land within smaller towns and villages for development. It also proposes to provide serviced sites for ‘self-build’ in villages and towns  and includes restrictive policies on one-off housing in rural areas particularly in areas under urban influence.

Spatial Policies

The NPF does not focus on spatially defined specific elements in the country other than general commitments to renewable energy and infrastructure. No policy maps are included. However, there is an explicit objective to incrementally improve access to the north-west from Dublin in the east and from the other cities to the south.

Implementation

The NPF will have legislative support and the implementation will be done through monitoring of the (population) targets by the Office of the Planning Regulator (OPR) which will review the implementation of infrastructure targets and zoning. The NPF will also be subject to updating and review to coincide with development plan reviews. It will be linked to the National Investment Plan 2018-27 and it provides detail of this investment plan. A Smart Growth Funding initiative as part of the National Investment Plan is promised to assist compact urban growth. Active land management is advocated and possible new implementation bodies such as a National Land Development Agency will be considered. An indication of the tighter delivery of core strategies is the recognition of three tiers of zoned lands in development plans (tier 1: available for development, tier 2: requiring further infrastructure investment, tier 3: unlikely to be serviced within lifetime of development plan). An order of priority of zoned lands must also be indicated in development plans and this must be linked to infrastructure delivery. Methodologies in relation to both initiatives are provided in appendices.

Planning Hierarchy

Regional Spatial and Economic Strategies (RSESs) must now be prepared by the Regional Assemblies. These must be in accordance with the NPF. Arrangements will be put in place to enable the preparation of Metropolitan Area Strategic Plans (MASPs) for the five cities in the form of 12 year planning frameworks crossing administrative boundaries and with statutory underpinning.

 

Five Cities

There are specific objectives for each of the five cities but no maps. A common element is the emphasis on the need for ambitious large-scale
regeneration areas on brownfield lands (incl. State owned lands) for the provision of new housing and employment.

Housing

A total of 550,000 new homes are to be built between now and 2040, a target of ca. 25,000 units per year, with 26% of these (143,000) in Dublin City and Suburbs.

Comparison with NSS

The plan period (2017-2040) is slightly longer but similar to that of the NSS (was 20 years). The NPF clearly states a re-commitment to the Balanced Regional Development concept (development away from Dublin) although that term is no longer used and the planned regional re-distribution is modest. Although the term gateway city is not used, it is clear that the five cities now take on this designation, i.e. a reduction from nine gateways in the NSS to five. There are no hub towns. In terms of governance the main difference is the legislative backing to be overseen by the OPR. Unlike the NSS the NPF does not include any maps.

Interpretation

The NPF is ambitious in terms of its targets to contain the growth of population and jobs in the Dublin city region. This is reflected in the target to have at least one of every additional person and job up to 2040 to be located outside the Eastern and Midlands Region coupled with the target to grow the four cities outside Dublin at a rate that is twice that of Dublin. The NPF gives no indication for any towns outside the five cities but it expects that selection of towns with specific growth targets will be contained in the regional strategies.

 


See Map 2.1, NPF page 34 for the parts of the country covered by the three Regional Assemblies.


See policy objectives 2b and 7.

See policy objective 3a.

See policy objective 11.

NPF, p. 65.

See policy objective 17b

See policy objectives 18b and 19.

See policy objective 2c.

See section 9.3.

See policy objective 7a.

See policy objective 12.

See policy objectives 67 and 68.

See policy objective 63.

See section 3.9.

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